简述特尔菲法的主要缺点。

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问题:

简述特尔菲法的主要缺点。

考点:信息分析信息分析题库
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在横线上填上合适的小数

2.65克=______千克

8厘米=______米

6.500平方米=______平方分米

2角9分=______元.

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B

Unless we spend money to spot and prevent asteroids (小行星) now,one might crash into Earth and destroy life as we know it,say some scientists.

Asteroids are bigger versions of the meteoroids(流星)that race across the night sky. Most orbit the sun far from Earth and don't threaten us. But there are also thousands whose orbits put them on a collision course with Earth.

Buy $ 50 million worth of new telescopes right now. Then spend $ 10 million a year for the next 25 years to locate most of the space rocks. By the time we spot a fatal one,the scientists say,we'll have a way to change its course.

Some scientists favor pushing asteroids off course with nuclear weapons. But the cost wouldn't be cheap.

Is it worth it? Two things experts consider when judging any risk are: 1) How likely the event is; and 2) How bad the consequences if the event occurs. Experts think an asteroid big enough to destroy lots of life might strike Earth once every 500,000 years. Sounds pretty rare-but if one did fall,it would be the end of the world. “If we don't take care of these big asteroids,they'll take care of us,”says one scientist. “It's that simple.”

The cure,though,might be worse than the disease. Do we really want fleets of nuclear weapons sitting around on Earth? “The world has less to fear from doomsday(毁灭性的) rocks than from a great nuclear fleet set against them,” said a New York Times article.

1. What does the passage say about asteroids and meteoroids?

[ A ]. They are heavenly bodies different in composition.

[ B ].They are heavenly bodies similar in nature.

[ C ].There are more asteroids than meteoroids.

[ D ].Asteroids are more mysterious than meteoroids.

2. We can conclude from the passage that_____ .

[ A ].while pushing asteroids off course nuclear weapons would destroy the world

[ B ].asteroids racing across the night sky are likely to hit Earth in the near future

[ C ].the worry about asteroids can be left to future generations since it is unlikely to happen in our lifetime

[ D ].workable solutions still have to be found to prevent a collision of asteroids with Earth.

3. Which of the following best describes the author's tone in this pass age?

[ A ]. Optimistic.  [ B ]. Critical.  [ C ]. Objective.  [ D ]. Arbitrary.

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下列情形需要申请领取取水许可证的()。

A.农村集体经济组织及其成员使用本集体经济组织的水塘、水库中的水

B.为生产经营所需而从地下大量取水

C.为消除对公共安全或者公共利益的危害临时应急取水

D.为农业抗旱和维护生态与环境而从江河直接取水的

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在产品生命周期的不同阶段,产品的市场占有率、盈利情况等都是不一样的,企业有必 要在产品不同的生命周期阶段采取不同的营销策略。如果某银行某项产品的销售正处于市场 成长期,其营销重点应该是()。

A.延长产品寿命,用新产品取代老产品以维持或扩大市场占有率

B.花费大量资金做广告宣传,获取最大限度利润

C.主动收集客户反馈的意见和建议,进行调研,加大推销力度,增进客户对产品的了解

D.减少研发费用,不断提高质量,改善服务,开拓新市场,进一步提高市场占有率

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二十八初孕妇,孕33周,自觉乏力、食欲差,伴恶心、呕吐2周,小便深黄色,皮肤瘙痒5日。查体:体温37.5℃,血压130/90mmHg,神志清,皮肤巩膜黄染,躯干及四肢皮肤可见散在出血点,肝肋下未触及,胎头入盆,胎心140次/分。

若ALT542U/L,总胆红素85.5μmol/L,结合胆红素46μmol/L,尿胆红素(+),HBsAg(+),本例最可能的诊断是()

A.妊娠高血压疾病引起的肝损害

B.妊娠剧吐

C.妊娠急性脂肪肝

D.妊娠合并病毒性肝炎

E.妊娠肝内胆汁淤积症

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